Will I test positive for Covid by May 1, 2022?
Mini
1
Ṁ10May 2
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Background info: I am double vaccinated, have not previously tested positive, and get tested frequently.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will a new SARS-CoV-2 variant classified as a VOC or worse result in at least 20...e US before July 1, 2025?
60% chance
Will most of the US population have gotten Covid by the end of 2022?
88% chance
Will at least 75% of the USA COVID-19 cases between 1/1/22 and 2/28/23 occur between 1/1/22 and 2/28/22?
48% chance
Will China report more than 100,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases for any single day before May 2022?
36% chance
What will the trajectory of Covid be in the US for 2022?
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
"Will there be more than 25 million confirmed COVID cases in China by the end of 2023?"
31% chance
Will Moderna report positive results for its children's vaccine before the end of March 2022?
57% chance
Will the test results be conclusive by the end of the year?
50% chance
How many more markets will I create by May 1, 2022?
42% chance