Will the world experience a solar storm with significantly negative "EMP" effects in 2022?
Mini
3
Ṁ111Jun 23
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve to 'yes' if A) we experience a solar storm AND B) the radiation knocks out a power grid anywhere in the world. I'll need to see sufficient evidence of B to be certain it wasn't something related to human error or coincidence. The best evidence would be _several_ areas going offline simultaneously.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Global CO2 Emissions Reach a New Record High by 2025?
70% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 10 years) in Israel/Palestine conflict in 2022?
6% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than in past 50 years) in China/Taiwan conflict in 2022?
0% chance
Will large areas of New England have blackouts in the 2021-2022 winter?
40% chance
Will there be a major flare-up (worse than past 5 years) in Russia/Ukraine conflict in 2022?
37% chance
Will 2022 will be warmer than 2021?
62% chance
Will there be at least $250 million in damage from a single round of mass protests in US in 2022?
12% chance
Will 2060, globally, be warmer than 2010?
77% chance
Will there be a new COVID variant with an impact greater than Omicron in 2022 or 2023?
46% chance
"Will an issue involving a nuclear power plant in Ukraine require evacuation of a populated area in 2023?"
63% chance