[ACX2024] Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
Mini
1
Ṁ10Jan 2
59%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
Resolution criteria
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, OpenAI publicly acknowledges that a system or method it has explored is the rumored Q* (or Q-Star) and publishes (or has published in the past) a document (e.g., a blog post, paper, or video, but not a tweet) describing the system or method rumored to be Q*.
Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
[Kalshi] Will GPT-5 be released by December 31, 2024?
52% chance
[ACX2024] Will Ilya Sutskever still lead OpenAI’s Superalignment team at the end of 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?
50% chance
[Kalshi] OpenAI no longer top LLM in 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will SpaceX attempt to catch a Starship booster with the tower in 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?
49% chance
"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 in 2023?"
28% chance
[ACX2024] Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2024?
50% chance
[ACX2024] Will the New Glenn launch vehicle reach an altitude of 100 kilometers in 2024?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least on the scale of GPT-4 be wide...before January 1st, 2025?
50% chance