Is funding Ugandans to study in Germany is at least 10x more effective than GiveDirectly cash transfers? Lasts a week. Can resolve ambiguously.
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Jan 25
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This tweet says that Ugandan's studying in Germany is funding constrained. https://twitter.com/jhaushofer/status/1483466480260120578 In a week, will I think that it's at least 10x more effective than GiveDirectly cash transfers to developing nations. (ie comparable to GiveWell's top charities). If I don't know, the market will resolve ambiguously. The market resolves "Yes" if I think it is likely to be and "No" if I think it's likely not to be. Feel free to try and convince me. Jan 18, 4:32pm: If the market resolves ambiguously, all money will be returned to traders.
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Oh, that's a clever way of getting notifications! We'll probably want to support something like "following a market" soon, but for now I'll do the same
Just to get a notification about how this is resolved :)

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