[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
[Metaculus] Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?
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Will President Joe Biden grant a pardon or commutation to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025?

Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.

Resolution criteria

If Joe Biden grants any clemency to Hunter Biden before January 21, 2025, this question resolves as Yes. If this event does not happen before that date, this question resolves as No.

The President of the United States's clemency actions consist of either pardons of people or commutations of their sentences. This question therefore resolves based on these two databases from the Department of Justice:

  1. Pardons Granted

  2. Commutations Granted

If those resources are unavailable but the pardon or commutation unambiguously happened (for example in the case of a blanket pardon which covers Hunter Biden in its scope, discussed in the Fine Print), then this question may resolve based on other credible sources.

Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.

Once the original resolves, its resolution will be applied to this market automatically. Trustworthy-ish users are encouraged to resolve this market before then if the outcome is known and unambiguous. Feel free to ping @jskf to request early resolution or to report issues.

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