What percentage of the vote will the MORENA party candidate win in the next Mexican general election?
Mini
0
Jun 2
1D
1W
1M
ALL
25%
50.0% or less and will not win the election
25%
50.0% or less but will win the election
25%
More than 50.0% but less than 55.0%
25%
55.0% or more
What percentage of the vote will the MORENA party candidate win in the next Mexican general election?
Resolves the same as the original question on Good Judgement.
The next Mexican general election is scheduled for 2 June 2024, which includes a presidential election (Economist, AP, Mexico National Electoral Institute). In the event of the renaming of MORENA or its fragmentation into two or more parties, further instructions will be provided.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will Emmanuel Macron win the 2022 French Presidential election?
68% chance
Will the Liberal party win the next Australian Federal election?
59% chance
[Metaculus] Will the winner of the 2024 United States presidential election win the popular vote?
50% chance
[Metaculus] Will Spain announce a snap general election before January 2025?
67% chance
How many seats in the Lok Sabha will the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) win in the next Indian general election?
Will Republicans win enough seats in the US Senate in the 2022 election to have a majority
79% chance
Will Emmanuel Macron will be reelected president of France?
65% chance
Will Bongbong Marcos will be elected president of the Philippines?
55% chance
If Keir Starmer is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election, will the Labour Party win?
55% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance