"Will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over in 2023?"
Mini
2
Ṁ50
Dec 31
67%
chance

As long as any vehicle (except, like, airplanes) can pass over the bridge, it does not count as destroyed. If the bridge is destroyed but successfully repaired before 1/1/24 so that vehicles can cross it again, it does not count as destroyed.

This is question #6 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.

#ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
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