"Will Google, Meta, Amazon, or Apple release an AR headset in 2023?"
Mini
3
Ṁ75Dec 31
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
An AR (Augmented Reality) headset is defined as a wearable where the user can see through it (unlike a VR headset) to the outside world, and it adds new visual information on top of what the viewer sees. It’s not sufficient to have glasses that have functionality like taking pictures, or that modify the visual field with filters. The new visual information must be in some way based on what the user is doing or seeing. Microsoft Hololens would qualify, but is already extant. Must be released by one of Meta, Google, Apple, Amazon specifically, and must be available for purchase by the public in some capacity.
This is question #44 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
Related questions
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will Sam Altman and Greg Brockman start a new AI company, or join a competitor to OpenAI, before 2025?
49% chance
[ACX2024] Will OpenAI publish information describing Q* (Q-Star) in 2024?
59% chance
"Will the Supreme Court rule against affirmative action in 2023?"
62% chance
"Will the S&P 500 index go up over 2023?"
52% chance
"Will AI win a programming competition in 2023?"
37% chance
"Will OpenAI release GPT-4 in 2023?"
28% chance
"Will any FAANG or Musk company accept crypto as a payment at the end of 2023?"
37% chance
"At the end of 2023, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?"
49% chance
"Will the S&P 500 index reach a new all-time high in 2023?"
38% chance
"Will a new version of COVID be substantially able to escape Omicron vaccines in 2023?"
44% chance